tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post2809375113650244268..comments2023-12-06T00:23:28.790+11:00Comments on Press gallery reform: Exit strategyAndrew Elderhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04705844456819481896noreply@blogger.comBlogger27125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-41481923662542921472015-09-17T17:27:54.853+10:002015-09-17T17:27:54.853+10:00Florida Buy and Sell will help you sell your busin...Florida Buy and Sell will help you sell your business for right amount of money, preserving the <br />Confidentiality of the deal. Selling a business is a complex endeavor. Many entrepreneurs postpone the sale of their business due to uncertainties and a fear of not getting what they want. As a result, when the time comes and a business must be sold anyway, it is often a fire sale, and the proceeds are seldom satisfactory. However, ready for use an already assembled car can drive you instantly. Here are options for Selling business, confidentiality, and <a href="http://flbuyandsell.com" rel="nofollow">exit strategy</a> and business broker.<br />Herry Johnsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06336899634205525690noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-67897318428745630412013-01-16T21:57:09.030+11:002013-01-16T21:57:09.030+11:00"The Vibe". Exactly.
I see similarities..."The Vibe". Exactly.<br /><br />I see similarities with USA, where Romney was ahead in some polls, and at worst 50/50 in others just before the election.... then he got wiped out.<br /><br />The pollster who predicted the results the best was the one who didn't rely on the pollsters... he calculated it on how people felt about things... the '13 keys' (aka "The Vibe"):<br /><br />http://www.informs.org/ORMS-Today/Public-Articles/June-Volume-38-Number-3/Election-2012-The-13-keys-to-the-White-House<br /><br />Analysing the 2013 Aus election based on most of the same keys (taking out the weird US midterm election stuff):<br /><br />1. The incumbent-party candidate is the sitting Prime Minister. (TRUE)<br /><br />2. There is no third-party or independent candidacy that wins at least five percent of the vote. (FALSE)<br /><br />3. The economy is not in recession during the campaign. (TRUE)<br /><br />4. Real (constant-dollar) per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth for the preceding two terms. (TRUE)<br /><br />5. The administration achieves a major policy change during the term (TRUE)<br /><br />6. There has been no major social unrest during the term, sufficient to cause deep concerns about the unraveling of society. (TRUE)<br /><br />7. There is no broad recognition of a scandal that directly touches the president. (TRUE)<br /><br />8. There has been no military or foreign policy failure during the term, substantial enough that it appears to undermine Australia’s national interests significantly or threaten its standing in the world. (TRUE)<br /><br />9. There has been a military or foreign policy success during the term substantial enough to advance America’s national interests or improve its standing in the world. (TRUE)<br /><br />10. The incumbent-party candidate is charismatic or is a national hero. (FALSE)<br /><br />11. The challenger is not charismatic and is not a national hero. (TRUE)<br /><br />If six or more of these statements are false, the incumbent party loses.<br /><br />Bearing in mind I've cut the above from 13 to 11, but kept the calculation as 6 negative results and they lose, Gillard is going to win convincingly.<br /><br />Why?<br /><br />The real power in voting are the swinging voters. Ignore the rusted on Labor/Liberals. Most of those swinging voters are going to vote Labor or Greens (who will support Labor as the Libs don't believe in climate change).<br /><br />Why are they going to mainly support Labor/Greens?.... although they may dislike some policies (e.g. asylum seekers), the majority of the indicators are positive.<br /><br />At heart most people are selfish... WIIFM (What's in it for me?). Most people are doing fine right now. If Abbott (or Libs) are elected, then the general good feeling will be at risk due to unspecified large job cuts, service cuts etc etc.<br /><br />Basically it's not greener on the other side, and Abbott/Libs are not worth the risk.<br /><br />Gillard will win easily. It's totally different answering poll questions than actually ticking a box on election day.Stormhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14643454424423180633noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-70942946261507019852013-01-09T21:39:21.149+11:002013-01-09T21:39:21.149+11:00error
coalition*
*oppositionerror<br /><br />coalition*<br /><br />*oppositionAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-52219268098938482922013-01-09T14:48:54.087+11:002013-01-09T14:48:54.087+11:00I hope I'm not wrong to be looking forward to ...I hope I'm not wrong to be looking forward to the Josh Frydenberg slap-down?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-28950226742280487662013-01-09T13:23:57.763+11:002013-01-09T13:23:57.763+11:00We currently have "a" coalition governme...We currently have "a" coalition government, but "the" Coalition refers to the Liberal-National combination (with an agreed single leadership and frontbench structure) to which you refer. <br /><br />I note that you misspelled the word "hijack".Andrew Elderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04705844456819481896noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-7848379207199229852013-01-09T13:19:18.598+11:002013-01-09T13:19:18.598+11:00Quite so. The idea that this is deft strategy, and...Quite so. The idea that this is deft strategy, and a MP/candidate plugging away in their electorate earning the respect of voters isn't, is really amazing.Andrew Elderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04705844456819481896noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-44881354128390665672013-01-09T13:16:51.521+11:002013-01-09T13:16:51.521+11:00Gordon, we are agreed on shallow internal party de...Gordon, we are agreed on shallow internal party debates. On this issue, however, that shallowness is projected outwards: the idea that Credlin will attract votes just because the let "hypocritically" attack her is a fantasy. Andrew Elderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04705844456819481896noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-22139885922100172442013-01-09T00:48:11.589+11:002013-01-09T00:48:11.589+11:00Not a specific comment on this post but rather a q...Not a specific comment on this post but rather a question about terminology. I believe that some terms are being wrongly used. <br />Coalition - We currently HAVE a coalition government; a coalition of Labor, Greens and some independents. The opposition is not a coalition. It is nothing more than Liberals, Nationals, Liberal Nationals, NT Country party, and some independents who are not in government.<br />Minority Government - Since I started voting, the governments headed by Whitlam, Hawke Keating and Rudd respectively have been the only Majority Governments. All the others by definition have been minority governments, requiring a coalition to gain the treasury benches. <br />By allowing Abbott to highjack these terms we allow him a legitimacy that he does not deserveAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09625558096522781091noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-38164707796263892812013-01-08T23:14:22.742+11:002013-01-08T23:14:22.742+11:00What on earth are you talking about?What on earth are you talking about?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-14806387569020631622013-01-08T22:36:19.651+11:002013-01-08T22:36:19.651+11:00Agreed! Women should be the reforming Angels in th...Agreed! Women should be the reforming Angels in the House, mitigating the Animal Spirits of the Male Psyche... wait a minute... what century were we in again? (Note for the simplistic, this doesn't equate to support for the horrible policies outlined above.)Helenhttp://castironbalcony.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-44774585501275511532013-01-08T11:29:48.425+11:002013-01-08T11:29:48.425+11:00At least she didnt go to Mia Freedmans media outle...At least she didnt go to Mia Freedmans media outlet with Mumma Mia<br /><br />Now that would have been hilarious!!<br /><br />;)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-91825641447403498412013-01-08T10:17:31.031+11:002013-01-08T10:17:31.031+11:00Ms Credlin's law to the loyal troops is always...Ms Credlin's law to the loyal troops is always that staff are not the story. She even makes them close FB and Twitter accounts. How inglorious of her to go public with such a private venture.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-50411176502040811352013-01-08T00:22:07.728+11:002013-01-08T00:22:07.728+11:00Anon
May i politely remind readers of this blog t...Anon<br /><br />May i politely remind readers of this blog that the political class are<br /><br />Dregs of the middle class.<br /><br />You get Ms Gillard as pm<br /><br />Mr Abbott as opposition leader<br /><br />As a Melburnian i see that invites are not <br />given to Liberal party people from some ethnic groups that are well established<br /><br />True fact<br /><br />They are sick of the extremists<br /><br />Andrew youre wrong<br /><br />Sinodinos is a well respected man and lovely to deal with<br /><br />He brings class to the coalition and style with intellectual panache<br /><br />Hes really good<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-83230832737272295882013-01-07T23:46:46.949+11:002013-01-07T23:46:46.949+11:00Andrew,
Can i have children with you???
love,lov...Andrew,<br /><br />Can i have children with you???<br /><br />love,love,love this blog!!!!<br /><br />Credlin is married to a Liberal and complains about her role and no life??<br /><br />She is the apparatchik from hell and deserves the life she has chosen for herself<br /><br />Disgusting stunt here to win in an election year using her personal life for spin<br /><br />Please darling ,go ,...... yourself<br /><br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-54791058012550795162013-01-07T23:23:24.064+11:002013-01-07T23:23:24.064+11:00But she would say that anyway, not, it's an el...But she would say that anyway, not, it's an election year but I'm still going to try to get pregnant. She'd look disloyal and it would be a more obvious jumping of ship. She's too clever to put herself in a bad light. But gee, if she does become pregnant, no one can bad mouth her for leaving poor Tone in the lurch. A perfect excuse.<br /><br />I like the way you think Andrew.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-10663122549095207132013-01-07T22:07:13.297+11:002013-01-07T22:07:13.297+11:00Andrew,
You appear to have overlooked Mark ...Andrew,<br /> You appear to have overlooked Mark Textor's 4th arrow in his killer quiver:<br />* Put 'The Leader' on a bike. Have him ride it all around the marginal electorates. Have him go 'Phwoar!' at his daughters in their riding lycra, just like all the Bogans(and Mark), like to do. It'll work a charm with the Tradies! Just not their wives. Bugger! But then the Little Women always vote the way their Old Men tell them to, don't they still? Well, they do in 'The Territory' where Mark comes from!<br /><br />Anyway, tracky daks and Power Walking are so John Howard, but the essential imagery of the Putinesque He Man politician must be perpetuated in some updated way. It got John 12 years! :DHillbillySkeletonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06056151016359730712noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-60998587346450274962013-01-07T20:32:26.299+11:002013-01-07T20:32:26.299+11:00Dan, Patricia: we'll see.Dan, Patricia: we'll see. Andrew Elderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04705844456819481896noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-18715725257694947502013-01-07T20:00:06.679+11:002013-01-07T20:00:06.679+11:00yeah lets remember:
pyne: didn't meet then d...yeah lets remember: <br /><br />pyne: didn't meet then did meet Ashby, didn't ask for his phone number and email adress then did, it was only a few minutes then was 2 hours......<br /><br />Brough: never met him "...rowing up a dry creek...", then met him 3 times but offered no advice, then offered advice....<br /><br />Asby: being paid by Slipper but working for his Brough's and Doanes advantage and the ultimate advantage of the LNP by possibly bringing down a government if not a change in numbers.<br /><br />The 3 of them constantly trying to distance themselves from it and lying and denying, was found out, virtually implicating themselves right in the middle of it all.<br /><br />Those are the sorts of things we want investigated and who else knew what "...no SPECIFIC knowlege..." and who else is involved and to what exent as this might be sedition.... maybe. <br />what they've been up to is not what democracy is supposed to look like discrace and destroy and win by default.<br /><br />I don't give too much credibility to Ashby's claims, as the texts showed a different story than the one he presented in court so I'm really not interested in an investigation into the merrits of his claims. I think they've been tested and disproven. Ask the Judge. <br /><br />BTW<br /><br />And where was all the reporting on the Morgan poll in December? nothing?<br /><br />Shane<br /> <br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-29985651247598240482013-01-07T19:49:33.695+11:002013-01-07T19:49:33.695+11:00Andrew,
That is an interesting hypothesis about t...Andrew,<br /><br />That is an interesting hypothesis about the recent articles laying the ground work for Credlin to exit, stage right.<br /><br />However I must respectfully disagree with it.<br /><br />I quote you the following from the article(s):<br /><br />"Credlin would still dearly love to be a mother, but doesn’t think she will try IVF again in an election year.<br /><br />“It’s more the fact we are in the fight of our lives and you have to be committed. And it takes over your life,” she says.<br /><br />“And that’s just the nature of it an election year.<br /><br />“It consumes your life and your partner understands that, and your family understands that. I don’t want to have my attention divided. So I probably wouldn’t.<br /><br />“I’ve got one job this year and that’s to change the government."<br /><br />So, it looks like she's "All the way with Tony A".Dan Gulberryhttp://thedailyderp.netnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-43494115716350746962013-01-07T17:53:51.748+11:002013-01-07T17:53:51.748+11:00I'd agree with you Andrew except for this clos...I'd agree with you Andrew except for this close to the article.<br /><br /><i>Credlin would still dearly love to be a mother, but doesn't think she will try IVF again in an election year.<br /><br />"It's more the fact we are in the fight of our lives and you have to be committed. And it takes over your life," she says.<br /><br />"And that's just the nature of it an election year.<br /><br />"It consumes your life and your partner understands that, and your family understands that. I don't want to have my attention divided. So I probably wouldn't.<br /><br />"I've got one job this year and that's to change the government.</i><br /><br />For me those lines made nonsense out of the whole IVF story. No woman of 40+ with fertility problems, bent on starting a family can afford to waste a month, let alone a year. Peta Credlin's No. 1 priority is getting Tony Abbott elected. <br /><br />Patriciawahttp://polliepomes.wordpress.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-47458486037294707292013-01-07T17:53:24.304+11:002013-01-07T17:53:24.304+11:00I think with bushfires about to rage all over NSW ...I think with bushfires about to rage all over NSW and Victoria and Ted and BArry drastically cuttting fire services, Campbell in Qld already in hell country politically and the CLP already on the nose in the NY there will be a rethink in the federal election.<br /><br />Now I always prefer labor governments because they do build and reform things.<br /><br />But Gillard is a ghastly freak show.<br /><br />Whining about sexism she consigns tens of thousands of poor women and their kids to further poverty in a shades of Howard moment, she exiles women to prisons for life because she is a racist ignorant coward and always has been, she jails thousands of innocent kids without cause, some for potentially their whole lives under a law she once voted against.<br /><br />I mean Al Kateb of course which everyone forgets was written by Nick Bolkus of the ALP, the jails were of the ALP making under Gerry Hand after others like Margaret Reynolds and Mick Young had rejected it.<br /><br />WE have a woman A G with no interest in the rule of law claiming we have to jail new born babies for life to protect us, we have a female health minister happy to mete out torture to women and kids, an female human services minister happy to dish out racist attacks on aborigines and refugees and single parents - all these women in power are freaks and horror shows.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-69608707686478183352013-01-07T17:46:18.415+11:002013-01-07T17:46:18.415+11:00But how can this be? That other rookie reporter, K...But how can this be? That other rookie reporter, Katherine Murphy, told us that Tony would be showering us with policy and blinding us with vision as he sheds his negativity and leads us unto a golden age(she for one, was willing to take him at his word). Why would anyone want to get off that wonderful ride?<br /><br />P.S. "Rookie" was right: otherwise, why did Maiden have to spend the next day explaining: "I know what I wrote, but what I meant was..."?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13467071669624321286noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-29379464997249640212013-01-07T14:14:44.324+11:002013-01-07T14:14:44.324+11:00Jeremy
Very interesting and thought-provoking - th...Jeremy<br />Very interesting and thought-provoking - thank you. Leaving to reduce stress to try for a pregnancy would also make complete sense. <br /><br />I believe like David that an inquiry into Ashby would help to cast a wider net, discover who else was complicit and who is paying, maybe showing links to the other 'let's bring down one member' campaigns. <br /><br />The Ramjan/Kroger case was also adjourned to March - not good timing for LNP, provided of course that the MSM actually report it, unlike their amazing silence on Ashby. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-65305298760183244612013-01-07T13:30:18.711+11:002013-01-07T13:30:18.711+11:00fascinating that the chief of staff to the 'un...fascinating that the chief of staff to the 'unbackable favourite' is starting to look toward the exits, albeit in a way that ensures the Mainstream media insiders will never ask questions about it. I'd ignored these puff pieces for obvious reasons but that does seem like a telling line, i wonder what their internal polling in Qld and Victoria is starting to look like. KnifeySpoonyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03269119030919065233noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22534369.post-27600254149822155882013-01-07T11:48:28.723+11:002013-01-07T11:48:28.723+11:00The call is not for an Ashby/Slipper inquiry, its ...The call is not for an Ashby/Slipper inquiry, its a call for a complete inquiry into Ashby and who was involved in his attempt to bring down the Govt. As for Samantha Maiden was clearly too polite to ask after Loughnane, I presume that was a tongue in cheek back hander. Maiden has never been polite. She was obviously briefed on what to ask, the whole interview, or chat would be more accurate, was a well planned stunt. It fooled none but the die-hard Tory supporters, who would believe Abbott is pure as a new born babe.Davidnoreply@blogger.com